Carrum Downs house prices & rent trends — the risks to check before you buy
Carrum Downs is a suburb with a fairly mixed age profile — median age 36, around the state average on the ABS's SEIFA index of socio-economic advantage. Housing is mixed, with a notable share of townhouses (around 20%) alongside houses. The area is home to some cafés and shops, not a dense strip. It's some distance from the CBD, with no train or tram service recorded — day-to-day travel here generally means driving. The median house price sits at $845,000. Worth weighing against who lives here and how the area is set up, before you look at the planning and risk checks below for a specific property in Carrum Downs.
Ready to look at a specific property here? See the due diligence hub for what to verify before you sign.
Suburb boundary with planning overlays — toggle them top-right. Map © OpenStreetMap, © CARTO; overlays © Vicmap Planning.
Carrum Downs by the numbers
Deciles 1–10 vs all Victorian areas — 10 = most advantaged — from the ABS SEIFA index. A demographic measure, not a house-price one. These three don’t always move together — a suburb with lots of renters or students, for example, can score high on education but lower on income and housing costs.
Mix of dwelling types across the suburb (Census 2021)
Who owns and rents here (Census 2021)
More detail on building height and bedroom mix (Census 2021)
Bedroom mix (share of all occupied dwellings):
- Studio or 1 bedroom: 3%
- 2 bedrooms: 12%
- 3 bedrooms: 59%
- 4 or more bedrooms: 25%
Not sure whether a house, townhouse or apartment suits you? Decide what to buy →
Land use across the suburb (planning zones)
Planning overlays that can affect building, renovating or removing vegetation somewhere in Carrum Downs — confirm whether any apply to the specific address.
- Design & Development Overlay — height, setback or design rules on new building
- Significant Landscape Overlay — controls to protect the area’s landscape character
- Environmental Significance Overlay — environmental values that constrain development
Overlay colours reflect how much of the suburb an overlay covers — green under ~8%, amber ~8–20%, red above 20%. Public-acquisition, contamination (EAO) and floodway overlays are flagged (below) wherever they apply, because even a small area can include a specific property.
Recorded crime is a council-wide rate — every offence police logged over the latest year (theft, property damage, drug and traffic offences and the like, not only violent crime) divided by the council’s residents. A broad area signal, not a figure for this exact street.
All figures are suburb-level indicators, not property-specific — always confirm the exact address on the Section 32. Sources: ABS Census 2021, Valuer-General Victoria, DFFH Rental Report, Crime Statistics Agency Victoria, Vicmap Planning, Victorian Government UDP, Victorian Department of Education (schools & zones, via data.vic, CC BY 4.0), OpenStreetMap. What do these terms mean?
How Carrum Downs compares
Where Carrum Downs ranks against other suburbs on the measures buyers ask about — a higher bar isn’t always “better”, it’s just where this suburb sits.
Prices & rents over time
How Carrum Downs’s market has moved — up to 12 years of sale prices and 20+ years of rents.
| Year | Houses | Units |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $716,500 | $580,000 |
| 2023 | $697,500 | $557,500 |
| 2022 | $705,000 | $585,000 |
| 2021 | $665,000 | $545,500 |
| 2020 | $575,000 | $460,000 |
| 2019 | $537,000 | $433,000 |
| 2018 | $575,000 | $430,000 |
| 2017 | $525,000 | $388,000 |
| 2016 | $430,000 | $345,000 |
| 2015 | $370,000 | $319,000 |
| 2014 | $346,000 | $301,500 |
| 2013 | $330,000 | $310,000 |
| Year | Median rent |
|---|---|
| 2025 | $560/wk |
| 2024 | $520/wk |
| 2023 | $470/wk |
| 2022 | $430/wk |
| 2021 | $400/wk |
| 2020 | $380/wk |
| 2019 | $370/wk |
| 2018 | $370/wk |
| 2017 | $355/wk |
| 2016 | $345/wk |
| 2015 | $330/wk |
| 2014 | $320/wk |
| 2013 | $320/wk |
| 2012 | $310/wk |
| 2011 | $310/wk |
| 2010 | $290/wk |
| 2009 | $270/wk |
| 2008 | $250/wk |
| 2007 | $220/wk |
| 2006 | $205/wk |
| 2005 | $200/wk |
| 2004 | $190/wk |
| 2003 | $180/wk |
| 2002 | $175/wk |
| 2001 | $165/wk |
| 2000 | $155/wk |
New development pipeline
Major residential redevelopment tracked by the Victorian Government (UDP 2025) — infill and apartment/townhouse sites, not greenfield house-and-land estates.
Planning changes in Carrum Downs
No zone changes or new planning overlays have been recorded on land in Carrum Downs since 2017 — its planning rules have stayed put over the period we track. That stability is itself worth knowing.
Source: Vicmap Planning Scheme History (2017–present). How Melbourne’s zoning actually changed over the decade →
Schools
Parts of Carrum Downs fall within 8 primary and 4 secondary government school catchments. 4 schools are located within the suburb (3 government, 1 Catholic).
Government schools have address-based catchment zones; Catholic and independent schools set their own enrolment processes.
What to check before you buy in Carrum Downs
Carrum Downs has relatively light heritage-overlay coverage (about 0%), though it can still apply to individual parcels. It also carries meaningful flood-overlay coverage (about 20% of the suburb). A Bushfire Management Overlay affects about 10% of the area. The specific things worth confirming here, plus the two every buyer should check.
Public Acquisition Overlay
Part of Carrum Downs is reserved for a future public work (e.g. a road or rail project) under a Public Acquisition Overlay — land it covers can be compulsorily acquired by the authority. Check whether this specific property is affected before you commit.
Flood / inundation overlay risk
Roughly 20% of Carrum Downs carries a flood-related overlay. Confirm the land isn’t in a Land Subject to Inundation Overlay (LSIO) or Special Building Overlay (SBO) — both affect insurance, build height and what you can construct.
Bushfire Management Overlay
A Bushfire Management Overlay affects ~10% of Carrum Downs. If it applies, it drives bushfire construction requirements (BAL rating) and cost.
Easements & covenants
Check Section 3 for easements (e.g. drainage/sewer along a boundary — you usually can’t build over them) and restrictive covenants (single-dwelling, materials, height) that limit your plans.
Owners corporation (if applicable)
Apartments and many townhouses in Carrum Downs are in an owners corporation. If so, the statement must include its certificate — review annual fees, any special levies, the maintenance fund and insurance.
Already under contract in Carrum Downs?
Buyer questions about Carrum Downs
What should I check in a Section 32 for Carrum Downs?
For Carrum Downs, pay particular attention to any heritage overlay (none mapped at suburb level — check the specific parcel), any flood-related overlay (~20%), easements and restrictive covenants on the title, and — for apartments — the owners-corporation certificate with its fees and any special levies.
Does Carrum Downs have heritage overlays?
No heritage overlay coverage was mapped for Carrum Downs at the suburb level. That doesn't rule out an individually heritage-listed property or a Heritage Overlay on a specific parcel — check the planning section of the Section 32 for this address.
Is a free Section 32 review legal advice?
No. Delora gives a fast, plain-English review to help you understand the statement and ask better questions. Always have a licensed conveyancer or solicitor review the contract before you sign.
Neighbouring suburbs
The 8 suburbs that border Carrum Downs.
Learn how to use this page
The heritage, flood and bushfire figures above are suburb-wide — they tell you how common an overlay is here, not whether it applies to one specific address. Confirm via VicPlan and an in-person inspection before you rely on them.