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Narre Warren South house prices & rent trends — the risks to check before you buy

Narre Warren South is a suburb with a fairly mixed age profile — median age 34, around the state average on the ABS's SEIFA index of socio-economic advantage. Housing here is overwhelmingly standalone houses. The area is still light on cafés and retail strips, though well served by schools. It's some distance from the CBD, with no train or tram service recorded — day-to-day travel here generally means driving. The median house price sits at $857,500. Worth weighing against who lives here and how the area is set up, before you look at the planning and risk checks below for a specific property in Narre Warren South.

Ready to look at a specific property here? See the due diligence hub for what to verify before you sign.

House median
$857,500
▲ 2.3%/yr
Unit median
$670,000
apartment / flat
Median rent
$401/wk
per week
Gross yield
2.4%
rent ÷ house price

Delora's modelled price context for Narre Warren South

How Narre Warren South's current median compares with what Delora's hedonic model estimates from the suburb's own fundamentals — separate from the official-record figures below, and not a valuation of any individual property.

Modelled price context

Modelled 12% below its estimated fundamentals

$857,500
current median
$974,000
modelled fundamentals estimate

Historically, suburbs trading below their modelled fundamentals have more often than not gone on to beat the metro median — but a substantial minority haven't, so read this as a reason to look closer, not a prediction. Even on the more cautious end of the model's uncertainty range, Narre Warren South still models at least 7% below its estimated fundamentals.

This is a suburb-level model, not a valuation of any individual property, and not investment advice — see the methodology below.

Suburbs with the largest modelled gap →   What drives this price? →   Why do estimates never agree? →   Checking a specific listing's price →

See what's driving that number (methodology)
How highly educated the area iscuts about $99k
How popular it is with work-from-home buyerscuts about $93k
The general location and prestigeadds about $79k
The local safety recordadds about $50k
How good the tram access iscuts about $21k
How close it is to the citycuts about $18k

This model compares Narre Warren South with a typical Greater Melbourne suburb on the things buyers actually care about — location, transport, schools, incomes and risk — then estimates a dollar figure for the difference. These are the factors contributing most to the estimate above. The model carries genuine uncertainty (see the range noted above) and describes the suburb, not any specific property in it.

SuburbHeritageFlood

Suburb boundary with planning overlays — toggle them top-right. Map © OpenStreetMap, © CARTO; overlays © Vicmap Planning.

Narre Warren South by the numbers

Cost & market
Typical house price
$857,500
median sale · ▲ 2.3% / yr
Typical unit price
$670,000
median apartment / flat
Typical rent
$401/wk
median weekly (Census 2021)
Rental yield
2.4%
gross — annual rent ÷ house price
Vacant land
$660,000
median land sale
Who lives here
Population
30,909
usual residents (Census 2021)
Owner-occupied
82%
16% rented
Median age
34 yrs
of residents
Personal income
$749/wk
median, per week
Household income
$2,158/wk
median, per week
Avg household size
3.4 people
people per home · 89% family households
Monthly mortgage
$1,937/mo
median repayment
Recorded crime
89 per 1,000 residents
a year, across all of Casey council, not just Narre Warren South · around the state average
How advantaged the area is

Deciles 1–10 vs all Victorian areas — 10 = most advantaged — from the ABS SEIFA index. A demographic measure, not a house-price one. These three don’t always move together — a suburb with lots of renters or students, for example, can score high on education but lower on income and housing costs.

Overall advantage
5/10
Around the Victorian average
Economic resources
8/10
income, housing costs & wealth
Education & occupation
6/10
qualifications & skilled jobs
The homes here

Mix of dwelling types across the suburb (Census 2021)

Houses 93%Townhouses 7%Apartments 0%

Who owns and rents here (Census 2021)

Owned 82%Private rental 12%Social housing 1%
More detail on building height and bedroom mix (Census 2021)

Bedroom mix (share of all occupied dwellings):

  • 2 bedrooms: 1%
  • 3 bedrooms: 32%
  • 4 or more bedrooms: 66%

Not sure whether a house, townhouse or apartment suits you? Decide what to buy →

Location & lifestyle
Distance to the CBD
~40 km
from the suburb centre
Getting around
0 train · 0 tram · 110 bus
nearest train station ~3.0 km · counts are stop points, not stations (a station is often several)
Cafés & amenity density
2 cafés
Low café & amenity density — likely more car-dependent
Restaurants
5
places to eat nearby
Supermarkets
4
grocery stores nearby
Pharmacies
2
chemists nearby
Parks
54
green space nearby
Schools
6
primary & secondary
Nearest Centrelink
~3.7 km
outside the suburb
Zoning & planning controls — check before you buy

Land use across the suburb (planning zones)

Residential 81%Urban Growth 8%Public / Parks 8%
Zoning
Residential
mostly General Residential Zone – Schedule 1 (GRZ1) · 53% of the suburb
Heritage overlay
Very low · 0%
4 named overlay areas (HO3, HO104, HO79 +1 more) — oldest gazetted 1999
Flood overlay
Moderate · 11%
of the suburb — verify this address
Bushfire overlay
Very low · 0%
of the suburb — verify this address
Building & development controls

Planning overlays that can affect building, renovating or removing vegetation somewhere in Narre Warren South — confirm whether any apply to the specific address.

  • Environmental Significance Overlay — environmental values that constrain development
  • Development-contributions levy — new development pays an infrastructure contribution

Overlay colours reflect how much of the suburb an overlay covers — green under ~8%, amber ~8–20%, red above 20%. Public-acquisition, contamination (EAO) and floodway overlays are flagged (below) wherever they apply, because even a small area can include a specific property.
Recorded crime is a council-wide rate — every offence police logged over the latest year (theft, property damage, drug and traffic offences and the like, not only violent crime) divided by the council’s residents. A broad area signal, not a figure for this exact street.
All figures are suburb-level indicators, not property-specific — always confirm the exact address on the Section 32. Sources: ABS Census 2021, Valuer-General Victoria, DFFH Rental Report, Crime Statistics Agency Victoria, Vicmap Planning, Victorian Government UDP, Victorian Department of Education (schools & zones, via data.vic, CC BY 4.0), OpenStreetMap. What do these terms mean?

How Narre Warren South compares

Where Narre Warren South ranks against other suburbs on the measures buyers ask about — a higher bar isn’t always “better”, it’s just where this suburb sits.

Price
more expensive than 30%
Advantage
more advantaged than 21%
Recorded crime (council area)
lower recorded crime than 31%
Café & amenity density
denser in cafés & shops than 45%
CBD access
closer to the city than 24%
Price
more expensive than 62%
Advantage
more advantaged than 42%
Café & amenity density
denser in cafés & shops than 62%
CBD access
closer to the city than 65%

Prices & rents over time

How Narre Warren South’s market has moved — up to 12 years of sale prices and 20+ years of rents.

Median sale price over time
By year (Valuer-General Victoria). Small-suburb medians can swing year to year on a few big sales — read the trend, not the wiggles.
HousesUnits
YearHousesUnits
2024$815,000$615,000
2023$820,000$640,000
2022$802,500$625,000
2021$750,000$590,000
2020$660,000$530,000
2019$625,000$475,000
2018$636,500$477,500
2017$620,000$431,000
2016$530,000$402,500
2015$476,000$349,000
2014$440,000$375,000
2013$410,000$355,000

New development pipeline

Major residential redevelopment tracked by the Victorian Government (UDP 2025) — infill and apartment/townhouse sites, not greenfield house-and-land estates.

~19 new dwellings · 1 major project · 0% apartments
New dwellings by project stage (Victorian Government · UDP 2025).
Proposed 19

Planning changes in Narre Warren South

No zone changes or new planning overlays have been recorded on land in Narre Warren South since 2017 — its planning rules have stayed put over the period we track. That stability is itself worth knowing.

Source: Vicmap Planning Scheme History (2017–present). How Melbourne’s zoning actually changed over the decade →

Schools

Parts of Narre Warren South fall within 9 primary and 5 secondary government school catchments. 5 schools are located within the suburb (3 government, 1 Catholic, 1 independent).

Government schools have address-based catchment zones; Catholic and independent schools set their own enrolment processes.

Zoned government schools
Catchments that cover part of Narre Warren South — a suburb can span several, and your exact address decides which applies. Confirm at findmyschool.vic.gov.au.
Primary
Berwick Chase Primary SchoolBerwick Fields Primary SchoolFleetwood Primary SchoolHillsmeade Primary SchoolKala Primary SchoolKilberry Valley Primary SchoolNarre Warren South P-12 CollegeStrathaird Primary SchoolTulliallan Primary School
Secondary
Alkira Secondary CollegeFountain Gate Secondary CollegeKambrya CollegeLyndhurst Secondary CollegeNarre Warren South P-12 College
Schools in Narre Warren South
Every school physically located within the suburb, by sector and type.
Trinity Catholic Primary School · Catholic primaryHillsmeade Primary School · Government primaryNarre Warren South P-12 College · Government primary & secondaryStrathaird Primary School · Government primaryHeritage College · Independent primary & secondary

What to check before you buy in Narre Warren South

Narre Warren South has relatively light heritage-overlay coverage (about 0%), though it can still apply to individual parcels. It also carries meaningful flood-overlay coverage (about 11% of the suburb). The specific things worth confirming here, plus the two every buyer should check.

C1

Public Acquisition Overlay

Part of Narre Warren South is reserved for a future public work (e.g. a road or rail project) under a Public Acquisition Overlay — land it covers can be compulsorily acquired by the authority. Check whether this specific property is affected before you commit.

C2

Flood / inundation overlay risk

Roughly 11% of Narre Warren South carries a flood-related overlay. Confirm the land isn’t in a Land Subject to Inundation Overlay (LSIO) or Special Building Overlay (SBO) — both affect insurance, build height and what you can construct.

C3

Easements & covenants

Check Section 3 for easements (e.g. drainage/sewer along a boundary — you usually can’t build over them) and restrictive covenants (single-dwelling, materials, height) that limit your plans.

C4

Owners corporation (if applicable)

Apartments and many townhouses in Narre Warren South are in an owners corporation. If so, the statement must include its certificate — review annual fees, any special levies, the maintenance fund and insurance.

Already under contract in Narre Warren South?

Buyer questions about Narre Warren South

What should I check in a Section 32 for Narre Warren South?

For Narre Warren South, pay particular attention to any heritage overlay (none mapped at suburb level — check the specific parcel), any flood-related overlay (~11%), easements and restrictive covenants on the title, and — for apartments — the owners-corporation certificate with its fees and any special levies.

Does Narre Warren South have heritage overlays?

No heritage overlay coverage was mapped for Narre Warren South at the suburb level. That doesn't rule out an individually heritage-listed property or a Heritage Overlay on a specific parcel — check the planning section of the Section 32 for this address.

Is a free Section 32 review legal advice?

No. Delora gives a fast, plain-English review to help you understand the statement and ask better questions. Always have a licensed conveyancer or solicitor review the contract before you sign.

Neighbouring suburbs

The 5 suburbs that border Narre Warren South.

Browse all suburbs →

Learn how to use this page

The heritage, flood and bushfire figures above are suburb-wide — they tell you how common an overlay is here, not whether it applies to one specific address. Confirm via VicPlan and an in-person inspection before you rely on them.