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South Gippsland housing target: 2051 target vs approvals

South Gippsland’s official 2051 housing target, the yearly pace it implies, and how ABS building approvals in the council compare, month by month.

South Gippsland’s final 2051 housing target is 8,000 additional homes (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Spread evenly over the 28 years from 2023, that is about 286 homes a year.

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 162 dwelling approvals in South Gippsland: approvals are running at 57% of the pace needed. That is up 36% on the 12 months before.

Updated to Jul 2026 (ABS building approvals), data refreshed 2026-10-07. Targets as set in Plan for Victoria’s final targets, 24 February 2025.

8,000additional homes by 2051 (target)
286a year: the even pace the target implies
162dwellings approved in the 12 months to Jul 2026
57%of the pace needed, on the last 12 months

The state counts about 17,500 homes in South Gippsland in 2023 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), so the target would add roughly 46% to the housing stock.

Region: Regional Victoria.

Monthly approvals in South Gippsland

Dwelling approvals in South Gippsland by monthMonthly dwelling units approved in South Gippsland, Jul 2018 to Jul 2026, split into houses and other dwellings, with the 12-month average and a dashed line at the 24 a month the 2051 target implies. The last 12 months total 162. The same figures are in the table that follows.01020304020192020202120222023202420252026

Since January 2024, 356 dwellings have been approved in South Gippsland, about 138 a year, and the three-year average is 141 a year (49% of the pace needed). Extrapolation only: if approvals continued at the last 12 months' pace and every approval became a home (not all do), the remaining target would be reached in about 47 years, around 2073, after 2051.

Of the last 12 months’ approvals, 89% were houses and 11% were other dwellings such as townhouses and apartments.

Dwelling units approved in South Gippsland, by financial year
Financial yearHousesOther dwellingsTotal
2018–1920013213
2019–2017511186
2020–212846290
2021–2220322225
2022–231668174
2023–241357142
2024–251162118
2025–2614620166
2026–27 (Jul–Jul, 1 months)909
Last 24 months, month by month
MonthHousesOther dwellingsTotal
Jul 2026909
Jun 2026141428
May 202616016
Apr 202613013
Mar 202615015
Feb 202615015
Jan 2026808
Dec 202512012
Nov 202512012
Oct 202512214
Sep 202514014
Aug 2025426
Jul 202511213
Jun 202513013
May 202511011
Apr 2025404
Mar 202513013
Feb 2025404
Jan 2025909
Dec 2024101
Nov 2024707
Oct 202417219
Sep 202414014
Aug 202411011

Similar councils

Councils in Regional Victoria with the closest target sizes.

Council2051 targetNeeded a yearApproved, last 12 monthsShare of pace needed
Mildura8,500304447147%
Surf Coast8,000286311109%
Wellington8,00028620973%
South Gippsland8,00028616257%
Warrnambool7,200257394153%

Where in South Gippsland the approvals are

Suburbs with the most dwelling approvals since July 2021, when the ABS small-area series starts. Suburb figures are apportioned from ABS SA2 areas, so treat them as indicative.

SuburbDwellings approved since Jul 2021
Tarwin Lower53
Leongatha South47
Nyora47
Fish Creek39
Loch30
Mirboo North23
Buffalo20
Foster20

What the target means

The target is the number of additional homes the Victorian Government expects South Gippsland to make room for by 2051 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Councils do that through their planning controls (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), and the state says it will intervene, including by rezoning, where councils don’t (Premier of Victoria, verified 27 Sep 2026). The targets were set using access to jobs, services and transport, hazards such as flood and bushfire, and development trends (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026).

Method and limits.

Frequently asked

What is South Gippsland's housing target?

South Gippsland's final housing target, set by the Victorian Government in February 2025, is 8,000 additional homes by 2051.

How many homes are being approved in South Gippsland?

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 162 dwelling approvals in South Gippsland. The even pace the target implies is about 286 a year, so approvals are running at 57% of the pace needed.

Does South Gippsland have to approve 286 homes every year?

No. The target is a long-run total to 2051, not a yearly quota, and councils meet it by providing capacity in their planning controls. The even yearly pace is a yardstick for comparison, not a legal requirement.

Are building approvals the same as new homes?

No. An approval is the permit that lets construction start. Some approved homes are built years later, some never are, and demolished homes aren't subtracted.

Suburbs in South Gippsland

South Gippsland council overview: median prices for every suburb →

Sources and methodology

Figures on this page are drawn from Delora's local knowledge graph, refreshed from these primary sources and checked for changes on a regular schedule. If a figure here looks out of date, the official source above is always the authority — please let us know.

← All councils’ targets Rezoning tracker → Planning and development guide →
Written by
Delora editorial team
Jurisdiction
Victoria only (Victorian Government targets)
Content type
Data tracker (general information, not advice)
Last reviewed
2026-10-07
Sources
See "Sources and methodology" above for cited sources

Sources on this page last verified against the primary source each figure cites. What “verified” means