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Mildura housing target: 2051 target vs approvals

Mildura’s official 2051 housing target, the yearly pace it implies, and how ABS building approvals in the council compare, month by month.

Mildura’s final 2051 housing target is 8,500 additional homes (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Spread evenly over the 28 years from 2023, that is about 304 homes a year.

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 447 dwelling approvals in Mildura: approvals are running at 147% of the pace needed. That is up 70% on the 12 months before.

Updated to Jul 2026 (ABS building approvals), data refreshed 2026-10-07. Targets as set in Plan for Victoria’s final targets, 24 February 2025.

8,500additional homes by 2051 (target)
304a year: the even pace the target implies
447dwellings approved in the 12 months to Jul 2026
147%of the pace needed, on the last 12 months

The state counts about 25,900 homes in Mildura in 2023 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), so the target would add roughly 33% to the housing stock.

Region: Regional Victoria.

Monthly approvals in Mildura

Dwelling approvals in Mildura by monthMonthly dwelling units approved in Mildura, Jul 2018 to Jul 2026, split into houses and other dwellings, with the 12-month average and a dashed line at the 25 a month the 2051 target implies. The last 12 months total 447. The same figures are in the table that follows.02040608020192020202120222023202420252026

Since January 2024, 861 dwellings have been approved in Mildura, about 333 a year, and the three-year average is 323 a year (106% of the pace needed). Extrapolation only: if approvals continued at the last 12 months' pace and every approval became a home (not all do), the remaining target would be reached in about 17 years, around 2043.

Of the last 12 months’ approvals, 88% were houses and 12% were other dwellings such as townhouses and apartments.

Dwelling units approved in Mildura, by financial year
Financial yearHousesOther dwellingsTotal
2018–192764280
2019–2023117248
2020–2139320413
2021–2228318301
2022–2322429253
2023–2423218250
2024–2522636262
2025–2637655431
2026–27 (Jul–Jul, 1 months)42042
Last 24 months, month by month
MonthHousesOther dwellingsTotal
Jul 202642042
Jun 202630434
May 202651051
Apr 202634034
Mar 202633033
Feb 202638341
Jan 202623023
Dec 202520222
Nov 202530030
Oct 202537037
Sep 2025294675
Aug 202525025
Jul 202526026
Jun 202536844
May 202521223
Apr 202518220
Mar 202518018
Feb 202520020
Jan 202514822
Dec 202410414
Nov 202424024
Oct 202423427
Sep 202411011
Aug 202414014

Similar councils

Councils in Regional Victoria with the closest target sizes.

Council2051 targetNeeded a yearApproved, last 12 monthsShare of pace needed
Mildura8,500304447147%
South Gippsland8,00028616257%
Surf Coast8,000286311109%
Wellington8,00028620973%
Warrnambool7,200257394153%

Where in Mildura the approvals are

Suburbs with the most dwelling approvals since July 2021, when the ABS small-area series starts. Suburb figures are apportioned from ABS SA2 areas, so treat them as indicative.

SuburbDwellings approved since Jul 2021
Mildura857
Irymple209
Red Cliffs126
Nichols Point82
Merbein46
Merbein South44
Cardross15
Yelta14

What the target means

The target is the number of additional homes the Victorian Government expects Mildura to make room for by 2051 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Councils do that through their planning controls (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), and the state says it will intervene, including by rezoning, where councils don’t (Premier of Victoria, verified 27 Sep 2026). The targets were set using access to jobs, services and transport, hazards such as flood and bushfire, and development trends (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026).

Method and limits.

Frequently asked

What is Mildura's housing target?

Mildura's final housing target, set by the Victorian Government in February 2025, is 8,500 additional homes by 2051.

How many homes are being approved in Mildura?

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 447 dwelling approvals in Mildura. The even pace the target implies is about 304 a year, so approvals are running at 147% of the pace needed.

Does Mildura have to approve 304 homes every year?

No. The target is a long-run total to 2051, not a yearly quota, and councils meet it by providing capacity in their planning controls. The even yearly pace is a yardstick for comparison, not a legal requirement.

Are building approvals the same as new homes?

No. An approval is the permit that lets construction start. Some approved homes are built years later, some never are, and demolished homes aren't subtracted.

Suburbs in Mildura

Mildura council overview: median prices for every suburb →

Sources and methodology

Figures on this page are drawn from Delora's local knowledge graph, refreshed from these primary sources and checked for changes on a regular schedule. If a figure here looks out of date, the official source above is always the authority — please let us know.

Written by
Delora editorial team
Jurisdiction
Victoria only (Victorian Government targets)
Content type
Data tracker (general information, not advice)
Last reviewed
2026-10-07
Sources
See "Sources and methodology" above for cited sources

Sources on this page last verified against the primary source each figure cites. What “verified” means