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Mornington Peninsula housing target: 2051 target vs approvals

Mornington Peninsula’s official 2051 housing target, the yearly pace it implies, and how ABS building approvals in the council compare, month by month.

Mornington Peninsula’s final 2051 housing target is 24,000 additional homes (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Spread evenly over the 28 years from 2023, that is about 857 homes a year.

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 787 dwelling approvals in Mornington Peninsula: approvals are running at 92% of the pace needed. That is up 21% on the 12 months before.

Updated to Jul 2026 (ABS building approvals), data refreshed 2026-10-07. Targets as set in Plan for Victoria’s final targets, 24 February 2025.

24,000additional homes by 2051 (target)
857a year: the even pace the target implies
787dwellings approved in the 12 months to Jul 2026
92%of the pace needed, on the last 12 months

The state counts about 94,900 homes in Mornington Peninsula in 2023 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), so the target would add roughly 25% to the housing stock.

Region: Metropolitan Melbourne.

Monthly approvals in Mornington Peninsula

Dwelling approvals in Mornington Peninsula by monthMonthly dwelling units approved in Mornington Peninsula, Jul 2018 to Jul 2026, split into houses and other dwellings, with the 12-month average and a dashed line at the 71 a month the 2051 target implies. The last 12 months total 787. The same figures are in the table that follows.05010015020020192020202120222023202420252026

Since January 2024, 1,911 dwellings have been approved in Mornington Peninsula, about 740 a year, and the three-year average is 737 a year (86% of the pace needed). Extrapolation only: if approvals continued at the last 12 months' pace and every approval became a home (not all do), the remaining target would be reached in about 28 years, around 2054, after 2051.

Of the last 12 months’ approvals, 65% were houses and 35% were other dwellings such as townhouses and apartments.

Dwelling units approved in Mornington Peninsula, by financial year
Financial yearHousesOther dwellingsTotal
2018–197873471,134
2019–207113051,016
2020–21732259991
2021–227572911,048
2022–23603380983
2023–24550223773
2024–25504137641
2025–26489293782
2026–27 (Jul–Jul, 1 months)561268
Last 24 months, month by month
MonthHousesOther dwellingsTotal
Jul 2026561268
Jun 202636238
May 202643952
Apr 202641106147
Mar 202658260
Feb 2026381957
Jan 202627431
Dec 2025443478
Nov 2025421456
Oct 2025461763
Sep 2025424890
Aug 2025351247
Jul 2025372663
Jun 2025411354
May 2025501060
Apr 202532436
Mar 2025491362
Feb 2025321648
Jan 202532941
Dec 2024301646
Nov 2024341852
Oct 2024491665
Sep 202455762
Aug 202455661

Similar councils

Councils in Metropolitan Melbourne with the closest target sizes.

Council2051 targetNeeded a yearApproved, last 12 monthsShare of pace needed
Bayside30,0001,07153049%
Manningham28,5001,01848047%
Yarra Ranges25,00089342848%
Mornington Peninsula24,00085778792%
Hobsons Bay22,500804863107%

Where in Mornington Peninsula the approvals are

Suburbs with the most dwelling approvals since July 2021, when the ABS small-area series starts. Suburb figures are apportioned from ABS SA2 areas, so treat them as indicative.

SuburbDwellings approved since Jul 2021
Dromana516
Mornington445
Rosebud444
Mount Martha318
Mount Eliza271
Fingal214
Rye210
Arthurs Seat155

What the target means

The target is the number of additional homes the Victorian Government expects Mornington Peninsula to make room for by 2051 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Councils do that through their planning controls (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), and the state says it will intervene, including by rezoning, where councils don’t (Premier of Victoria, verified 27 Sep 2026). The targets were set using access to jobs, services and transport, hazards such as flood and bushfire, and development trends (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026).

Method and limits.

Frequently asked

What is Mornington Peninsula's housing target?

Mornington Peninsula's final housing target, set by the Victorian Government in February 2025, is 24,000 additional homes by 2051.

How many homes are being approved in Mornington Peninsula?

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 787 dwelling approvals in Mornington Peninsula. The even pace the target implies is about 857 a year, so approvals are running at 92% of the pace needed.

Does Mornington Peninsula have to approve 857 homes every year?

No. The target is a long-run total to 2051, not a yearly quota, and councils meet it by providing capacity in their planning controls. The even yearly pace is a yardstick for comparison, not a legal requirement.

Are building approvals the same as new homes?

No. An approval is the permit that lets construction start. Some approved homes are built years later, some never are, and demolished homes aren't subtracted.

Suburbs in Mornington Peninsula

Mornington Peninsula council overview: median prices for every suburb →

Sources and methodology

Figures on this page are drawn from Delora's local knowledge graph, refreshed from these primary sources and checked for changes on a regular schedule. If a figure here looks out of date, the official source above is always the authority — please let us know.

← All councils’ targets Rezoning tracker → Planning and development guide →
Written by
Delora editorial team
Jurisdiction
Victoria only (Victorian Government targets)
Content type
Data tracker (general information, not advice)
Last reviewed
2026-10-07
Sources
See "Sources and methodology" above for cited sources

Sources on this page last verified against the primary source each figure cites. What “verified” means