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Melton housing target: 2051 target vs approvals

Melton’s official 2051 housing target, the yearly pace it implies, and how ABS building approvals in the council compare, month by month.

Melton’s final 2051 housing target is 109,000 additional homes (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Spread evenly over the 28 years from 2023, that is about 3,893 homes a year.

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 4,513 dwelling approvals in Melton: approvals are running at 116% of the pace needed. That is about the same as the 12 months before.

Updated to Jul 2026 (ABS building approvals), data refreshed 2026-10-07. Targets as set in Plan for Victoria’s final targets, 24 February 2025.

109,000additional homes by 2051 (target)
3,893a year: the even pace the target implies
4,513dwellings approved in the 12 months to Jul 2026
116%of the pace needed, on the last 12 months

The target is split into 5,000 outside greenfield areas (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026) and 104,000 in greenfield areas (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). The state counts about 69,300 homes in Melton in 2023 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), so the target would add roughly 157% to the housing stock.

Region: Metropolitan Melbourne.

Monthly approvals in Melton

Dwelling approvals in Melton by monthMonthly dwelling units approved in Melton, Jul 2018 to Jul 2026, split into houses and other dwellings, with the 12-month average and a dashed line at the 324 a month the 2051 target implies. The last 12 months total 4,513. The same figures are in the table that follows.02004006008001,00020192020202120222023202420252026

Since January 2024, 11,630 dwellings have been approved in Melton, about 4,502 a year, and the three-year average is 4,517 a year (116% of the pace needed). Extrapolation only: if approvals continued at the last 12 months' pace and every approval became a home (not all do), the remaining target would be reached in about 22 years, around 2048.

Of the last 12 months’ approvals, 86% were houses and 14% were other dwellings such as townhouses and apartments.

Dwelling units approved in Melton, by financial year
Financial yearHousesOther dwellingsTotal
2018–192,5141352,649
2019–203,7941453,939
2020–215,6005726,172
2021–225,6164526,068
2022–234,8896215,510
2023–244,0753784,453
2024–253,9875774,564
2025–263,9066574,563
2026–27 (Jul–Jul, 1 months)32155376
Last 24 months, month by month
MonthHousesOther dwellingsTotal
Jul 202632155376
Jun 202636039399
May 202635143394
Apr 202633167398
Mar 202640239441
Feb 2026329112441
Jan 202618121202
Dec 202528644330
Nov 202530534339
Oct 2025348108456
Sep 202533859397
Aug 202531624340
Jul 202535967426
Jun 202528551336
May 202536778445
Apr 202528840328
Mar 202534324367
Feb 202537638414
Jan 202521124235
Dec 202429132323
Nov 202439448442
Oct 202437157428
Sep 202424732279
Aug 202443397530

Similar councils

Councils in Metropolitan Melbourne with the closest target sizes.

Council2051 targetNeeded a yearApproved, last 12 monthsShare of pace needed
Melbourne119,5004,2684,254100%
Melton109,0003,8934,513116%
Wyndham99,0003,5364,066115%
Casey87,0003,1073,450111%
Hume79,0002,8213,037108%

Where in Melton the approvals are

Suburbs with the most dwelling approvals since July 2021, when the ABS small-area series starts. Suburb figures are apportioned from ABS SA2 areas, so treat them as indicative.

SuburbDwellings approved since Jul 2021
Mount Cottrell5,504
Truganina4,454
Bonnie Brook3,083
Fraser Rise3,074
Eynesbury1,983
Diggers Rest1,865
Strathtulloh1,231
Weir Views1,097

What the target means

The target is the number of additional homes the Victorian Government expects Melton to make room for by 2051 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Councils do that through their planning controls (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), and the state says it will intervene, including by rezoning, where councils don’t (Premier of Victoria, verified 27 Sep 2026). The targets were set using access to jobs, services and transport, hazards such as flood and bushfire, and development trends (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026).

Method and limits.

Frequently asked

What is Melton's housing target?

Melton's final housing target, set by the Victorian Government in February 2025, is 109,000 additional homes by 2051. 104,000 of them are in greenfield areas.

How many homes are being approved in Melton?

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 4,513 dwelling approvals in Melton. The even pace the target implies is about 3,893 a year, so approvals are running at 116% of the pace needed.

Does Melton have to approve 3,893 homes every year?

No. The target is a long-run total to 2051, not a yearly quota, and councils meet it by providing capacity in their planning controls. The even yearly pace is a yardstick for comparison, not a legal requirement.

Are building approvals the same as new homes?

No. An approval is the permit that lets construction start. Some approved homes are built years later, some never are, and demolished homes aren't subtracted.

Suburbs in Melton

Melton council overview: median prices for every suburb →

Sources and methodology

Figures on this page are drawn from Delora's local knowledge graph, refreshed from these primary sources and checked for changes on a regular schedule. If a figure here looks out of date, the official source above is always the authority — please let us know.

Written by
Delora editorial team
Jurisdiction
Victoria only (Victorian Government targets)
Content type
Data tracker (general information, not advice)
Last reviewed
2026-10-07
Sources
See "Sources and methodology" above for cited sources

Sources on this page last verified against the primary source each figure cites. What “verified” means