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Casey housing target: 2051 target vs approvals

Casey’s official 2051 housing target, the yearly pace it implies, and how ABS building approvals in the council compare, month by month.

Casey’s final 2051 housing target is 87,000 additional homes (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Spread evenly over the 28 years from 2023, that is about 3,107 homes a year.

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 3,450 dwelling approvals in Casey: approvals are running at 111% of the pace needed. That is down 5% on the 12 months before.

Updated to Jul 2026 (ABS building approvals), data refreshed 2026-10-07. Targets as set in Plan for Victoria’s final targets, 24 February 2025.

87,000additional homes by 2051 (target)
3,107a year: the even pace the target implies
3,450dwellings approved in the 12 months to Jul 2026
111%of the pace needed, on the last 12 months

The target is split into 28,500 outside greenfield areas (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026) and 58,500 in greenfield areas (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). The state counts about 131,000 homes in Casey in 2023 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), so the target would add roughly 66% to the housing stock.

Region: Metropolitan Melbourne.

Monthly approvals in Casey

Dwelling approvals in Casey by monthMonthly dwelling units approved in Casey, Jul 2018 to Jul 2026, split into houses and other dwellings, with the 12-month average and a dashed line at the 259 a month the 2051 target implies. The last 12 months total 3,450. The same figures are in the table that follows.020040060080020192020202120222023202420252026

Since January 2024, 9,466 dwellings have been approved in Casey, about 3,664 a year, and the three-year average is 3,930 a year (126% of the pace needed). Extrapolation only: if approvals continued at the last 12 months' pace and every approval became a home (not all do), the remaining target would be reached in about 22 years, around 2048.

Of the last 12 months’ approvals, 84% were houses and 16% were other dwellings such as townhouses and apartments.

Dwelling units approved in Casey, by financial year
Financial yearHousesOther dwellingsTotal
2018–193,6654024,067
2019–203,2943893,683
2020–214,0356584,693
2021–223,7951,1024,897
2022–233,5131,2624,775
2023–244,1025834,685
2024–252,9197553,674
2025–262,9455723,517
2026–27 (Jul–Jul, 1 months)26430294
Last 24 months, month by month
MonthHousesOther dwellingsTotal
Jul 202626430294
Jun 202626848316
May 202622947276
Apr 202621029239
Mar 202626540305
Feb 202628957346
Jan 202614434178
Dec 202517414188
Nov 202524216258
Oct 202524192333
Sep 202529277369
Aug 202527969348
Jul 202531249361
Jun 202524531276
May 202525834292
Apr 202518856244
Mar 2025251117368
Feb 202523581316
Jan 202515565220
Dec 202418042222
Nov 202425858316
Oct 202429468362
Sep 202423931270
Aug 202428983372

Similar councils

Councils in Metropolitan Melbourne with the closest target sizes.

Council2051 targetNeeded a yearApproved, last 12 monthsShare of pace needed
Wyndham99,0003,5364,066115%
Casey87,0003,1073,450111%
Hume79,0002,8213,037108%
Whitehorse76,5002,73280730%
Whittlesea72,0002,5712,639103%

Where in Casey the approvals are

Suburbs with the most dwelling approvals since July 2021, when the ABS small-area series starts. Suburb figures are apportioned from ABS SA2 areas, so treat them as indicative.

SuburbDwellings approved since Jul 2021
Clyde North8,137
Clyde2,476
Berwick2,465
Cranbourne South1,289
Cranbourne East1,026
Cranbourne889
Cranbourne West867
Devon Meadows804

What the target means

The target is the number of additional homes the Victorian Government expects Casey to make room for by 2051 (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026). Councils do that through their planning controls (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026), and the state says it will intervene, including by rezoning, where councils don’t (Premier of Victoria, verified 27 Sep 2026). The targets were set using access to jobs, services and transport, hazards such as flood and bushfire, and development trends (Victorian Government (Department of Transport and Planning), verified 27 Sep 2026).

Method and limits.

Frequently asked

What is Casey's housing target?

Casey's final housing target, set by the Victorian Government in February 2025, is 87,000 additional homes by 2051. 58,500 of them are in greenfield areas.

How many homes are being approved in Casey?

In the 12 months to Jul 2026, the ABS recorded 3,450 dwelling approvals in Casey. The even pace the target implies is about 3,107 a year, so approvals are running at 111% of the pace needed.

Does Casey have to approve 3,107 homes every year?

No. The target is a long-run total to 2051, not a yearly quota, and councils meet it by providing capacity in their planning controls. The even yearly pace is a yardstick for comparison, not a legal requirement.

Are building approvals the same as new homes?

No. An approval is the permit that lets construction start. Some approved homes are built years later, some never are, and demolished homes aren't subtracted.

Suburbs in Casey

Casey council overview: median prices for every suburb →

Sources and methodology

Figures on this page are drawn from Delora's local knowledge graph, refreshed from these primary sources and checked for changes on a regular schedule. If a figure here looks out of date, the official source above is always the authority — please let us know.

← All councils’ targets Rezoning tracker → Planning and development guide →
Written by
Delora editorial team
Jurisdiction
Victoria only (Victorian Government targets)
Content type
Data tracker (general information, not advice)
Last reviewed
2026-10-07
Sources
See "Sources and methodology" above for cited sources

Sources on this page last verified against the primary source each figure cites. What “verified” means