Delora
Property Intelligence Report
52 Prospect Drive

Tarneit VIC 3029 · 27.6 km from Melbourne CBD

674 m² blockGeneral Residential Zone (GRZ1)No planning overlays on this landNo zoning changes since 20173.2 km to Werribee Railway Station
Analysed on 17 July 2026

The 30-second take STRONG VALUE SIGNAL

This is a 674 m² house in Tarneit (much larger than a typical block here), on General Residential Zone land. A fast-growing outer-melbourne growth suburb (forecast +59% population by 2036). The land alone is worth an estimated $638,000. Suburb-wide figures below are area context, not a valuation of this specific property.

On fundamentals the suburb looks 25% underpriced versus comparable areas — a genuine value signal though the flip side is a large new-housing pipeline that can hold price growth back.

The land is clean of planning overlays — no heritage, flood, bushfire or acquisition control on this specific parcel, which keeps renovation and rebuild options open.

-25%suburb vs fair value
4.0%gross rental yield (house)
0high-priority flags
82offences / 1,000 people

A plain-English synthesis of the data below — not financial advice. Every figure is explained and sourced in its section.

Where it is

The green outline is this parcel's title boundary (Vicmap Property). Use it to see the block's shape, size and frontage in context.

This parcel (title boundary)Nearest station: Werribee Railway Station (3.2 km)

The property

The parcel itself — its actual title boundary, size and shape, and what the land alone is worth.

Land size

674 m²

much larger than a typical block here

Approx. dimensions

30 × 33 m

frontage × depth (approx.)

Indicative land value

$542,000–$734,000

~$946/m² for the area

Lot / plan

172 PS507144

on title

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The land alone is worth an estimated $638,000

Based on this block's 674 m² at about $946/m² for the area — it's much larger than a typical block here. That's roughly 95% of the suburb's median house price — the rest is the building and improvements, which this report can't see and a valuer/inspection must assess. In outer and middle-ring Melbourne, land is the part that appreciates; a bigger-than-typical block is a real, durable advantage.

Land size, dimensions and boundary are from Vicmap Property (the state cadastre) by title parcel identifier — confirm the exact area and boundaries against the plan of subdivision in the Section 32. Dimensions are approximate (from the parcel's minimum bounding rectangle). Land value is indicative, derived from the block's area and the area's land rate — not a valuation of the whole property.

What you can build here

Development and subdivision headroom — from this block's land size, shape, zone and overlays. A key value-add question, and a key risk if you're counting on it.

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Dual-occupancy / townhouse potential

At roughly 674 m² this block is large enough that a dual occupancy or a pair of townhouses is a realistic prospect in a General Residential Zone, subject to design, garden-area rules and council support — a genuine value-add angle.

Indicative capacity: 2 dwellings (possibly more)

Indicative only — the binding limits are the council's zone schedule + ResCode. Get a town planner's advice before relying on any development assumption.

Zoning & what you can build here

Lot/plan: 172\PS507144 · Parcel ID (PFI): 3099369

General Residential Zone GRZ1

The standard, already-established residential zone. Most of Melbourne's existing suburban housing sits in a GRZ. Moderate housing growth is encouraged — dual occupancies, townhouses and small unit developments are routinely approved, but heights and lot coverage are more restrained than in a Residential Growth Zone.

What this means for a buyer

A sound, predictable zone for a standard house purchase. Redevelopment potential exists (subdivision, dual occ) but is moderate, not maximal.

The exact numeric controls (height limits, setbacks, garden-area requirements and minimum lot size) are set by Wyndham City Council's specific schedule to this zone, which this report does not reproduce — confirm via VicPlan or Wyndham City Council before relying on any development assumption.

What has changed here since 2017

Every gazetted zoning or overlay change recorded on this exact parcel, sourced from Vicmap Planning Scheme History.

No zoning or overlay changes recorded on this specific parcel since 2017

Its planning controls have stayed put over the period we track (Vicmap Planning Scheme History, 2017–present). That stability is itself worth knowing — it means the zone and overlays shown above are not the result of a recent, potentially contested rezoning.

Planning overlays on this land

Overlays add extra controls on top of the base zone — heritage, flood, bushfire, design and acquisition reservations all work this way.

None currently apply — a clean parcel

No heritage, flood, bushfire, acquisition, design or landscape overlay is recorded on this specific parcel, so there are no extra overlay approvals or construction conditions on top of the base zone.

What it really costs to buy here

The full upfront cost — not just the price — plus the first-home-buyer savings that actually apply at this price point, and the income needed to service a loan.

An eligible first-home buyer saves about $27,785 upfront here

Mostly from the stamp-duty exemption/concession (this house price sits in the first-home-buyer duty band) plus the $10,000 First Home Owner Grant on new builds — and this is a high-new-supply area where that's genuinely in play. That's real money that stays in your deposit.

Upfront cost stack

Purchase price (suburb median house)$675,000
Stamp duty — standard buyer$35,570
Stamp duty — eligible first-home buyer$17,785 (concession)
First Home Owner Grant (new build)+$10,000
Conveyancing / legal (typical)$1,500
Building & pest inspection (typical)$600
Loan setup & settlement (typical)$800
Upfront cost on top of deposit — standard buyer$38,470
Upfront cost on top of deposit — first-home buyer$10,685

Deposit paths & indicative repayments

ScenarioDepositLoanRepaymentInsurance
20% deposit (avoids LMI)$135,000$540,000$3,307/moNo LMI
10% deposit$67,500$607,500$3,721/moLMI likely
5% deposit (First Home Guarantee)$33,750$641,250$3,927/moLMI likely
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Affordability: about 6.2× local household income

At the median house price, this is a stretch but typical for Melbourne. A typical local household earns $109,356/year (Census); to service an 80% loan comfortably (repayments ≤30% of income) you'd want roughly $132,293 in gross household income. Repayments shown assume a 6.2% owner-occupier rate over 30 years — check current rates.

Stamp duty, the first-home-buyer exemption (≤$600k) / concession ($600k–$750k) and the $10,000 First Home Owner Grant (new homes ≤$750k) use current Victorian State Revenue Office rules — indicative only. Confirm your position with the SRO calculator and your lender. Third-party costs are typical market ranges.

Investment potential — yield & growth

The two numbers investors actually weigh: rental yield (income now) and capital-growth track record (upside later), plus a fundamentals-based fair-value check and the forward supply that shapes both.

$675,000Median house (Oct-Dec 2025)
$457,800Median unit
+2.5%House growth, 1yr
4.0%Top gross house yield
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Indicative gross yield around 3.2–4.0% for houses

Based on the suburb's median house price against real bond-lodged rents for the Werribee-Hoppers Crossing rental region (thousands of active bonds, so a reliable signal). This is a gross figure — before council rates, insurance, management, maintenance and any vacancy — and uses the area median, not this specific house's likely rent. Outer suburbs like this typically out-yield the inner ring but tend to see slower capital growth; weigh both.

Rental yield by house size

DwellingMedian rentGross yieldActive bonds
2 Bedroom House$420/wk3.2%210
3 Bedroom House$460/wk3.5%3,643
4 Bedroom House$525/wk4.0%5,691

Rents: DFFH bond lodgements, Werribee-Hoppers Crossing rental region, latest quarter.

Capital growth track record

The median house price moved from $371,000 (2013) to $650,000 (2024) — a compound growth rate of about 5.2% a year over 11 years. Past performance isn't a forecast especially with the large forward supply pipeline.

Fundamentals-based fair value: $900,000

Our hedonic model (trained on 342 Greater Melbourne suburbs, out-of-sample R²=0.752) estimates what a typical house here "should" cost from location, income, schools, transport and crime. The actual median sits 25% below that — a statistically confident gap (90% band -30% to -18%). Suburb-level, not a valuation of this specific home.

What buyers here are actually paying for

The model's price estimate broken down versus a typical Greater Melbourne suburb — the factors pushing Tarneit's value up (+) and down (−):

Location-110,500
% work from home-67,700
% bachelor+ degree+48,800
% born overseas-37,100
Distance to school+31,000
Tram stops-23,700
% train to work-13,000
Distance to coast/water-12,400

Median price by year (last 8 years)

Type20172018201920202021202220232024
House$515,000$570,000$550,000$570,000$602,000$650,000$653,500$650,000
Land$275,000$305,000$305,000$302,000$334,000$367,500$360,000$344,500
Unit$377,500$403,000$389,000$436,500$430,000$442,000$485,000$470,000

New-supply pipeline

1,182 dwellings approved for construction in Tarneit over the most recent 12 months of ABS data. Heavy forward supply is the key caution on capital growth here — more competing new stock than in established, land-constrained suburbs.

Transport & getting around

Distances to transport and everyday amenities, plus how people here actually commute.

Train: Werribee Railway Station3.2 km
Tram no tram network in this part of Melbourne — nearest tram shown for reference22.3 km
Bus stop: Brentwood Dr/Thames Bvd134 m
Supermarket1.4 km
Cafe1.4 km
Restaurant1.4 km
Pharmacy1.3 km
Park/open space161 m
Hospital4.0 km
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The commute reality

You're about 28 km from the CBD. Most residents drive (54% commute by car); only 3% take the train, and 22% work from home — high, and a big part of how this distance is made livable. The nearest station is a drive or bus ride from here, so factor parking or a feeder bus into a rail commute. Realistically plan for a car-dependent lifestyle this far out.

Schools

Zoned schools are the government school(s) this address has a guaranteed enrolment right to, per the Victorian school-zone boundaries — always confirm current boundaries with the Department of Education before relying on this.

Zoned government primary school: Westgrove Primary School
Nearest primary school (any sector): Bethany Catholic Primary School582 m
Zoned government secondary school(s): The Grange P-12 College
Nearest secondary school (any sector): Wyndham Central Secondary College2.1 km

Safety & crime

Recorded criminal incidents from the Crime Statistics Agency, turned into the question buyers actually ask: is this a safe part of town, relative to nearby suburbs?

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82 offences per 1,000 residents — around the middle in Wyndham

Tarneit ranks 4 of 7 nearby suburbs by crime rate (1 = highest). It has a lower recorded offence rate than nearby Werribee, Hoppers Crossing and Wyndham Vale. Crime rate is incidents divided by population, so it fairly compares suburbs of different sizes.

← safer  ·  higher crime →

What kind of crime (Wyndham council area)

Property offences dominate (65%) — theft, burglary, criminal damage — the usual pattern in most suburbs, rather than crimes against people. This mix is council-wide, the most local breakdown published.

Property (65%)Person (15%)Justice procedures (11%)Public order (4%)Drug (4%)

Neighbourhood snapshot — Tarneit

Suburb-level context (ABS Census 2021 + Victoria in Future 2036 forecasts) — applies to the whole suburb, not just this address.

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Who lives here

Tarneit is young, family-oriented and highly multicultural — one of Melbourne's most culturally diverse communities — median age 30, average household 3.4 people, 62% born overseas with 64% speaking a language other than English at home. It's predominantly owner-occupied (67% owners · 30% renters), and fast-changing — 21% of residents moved in within the last year, typical of a growth area still filling out.

Population

56,370

2021 Census

Forecast growth to 2036

+59%

population, Vic. in Future

Median age

30

years — a young, family suburb

Avg household size

3.4

people per household

Born overseas

62%

one of Melbourne's most diverse suburbs

Bachelor+ degree

54%

of residents 15+

Owner-occupied

67%

· 30% renters

Unemployment

7.3%

2021 Census

Work from home

22%

vs 3% commute by train

SEIFA advantage decile

5/10

socio-economic advantage, relative to all Australia

Nearby infrastructure investment

State-government infrastructure projects (Victorian Budget infrastructure pipeline) located near this address.

Delivering Victoria's Bus Plan (Public Transport)1.7 km
Manorvale Primary School (Education)2.8 km
Best Start, Best Life: Infrastructure (Education)3.3 km

Risks & opportunities at a glance

The signals worth weighing, ranked — each links to the section that explains it in full.

⚠ Risks & red flags
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Large new-housing pipeline across Tarneit ~61,530 more dwellings forecast by 2036 — heavy competing supply that can cap resale-price growth versus land-constrained suburbs. → Investment
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Above-average local unemployment 7.3% (2021 Census), above the state average — factor into rental-demand assumptions for an investment. → Neighbourhood
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A drive (not a walk) to the train Nearest station 3.2 km away — a car or bus trip. Check the bus route/frequency if you'll rely on rail. → Transport
✓ Opportunities
No planning overlays on this land No heritage, flood, bushfire or acquisition control on this parcel — fewer approval hurdles than a typical overlay-affected block. → Overlays
Strong, active building pipeline ~1,182 dwellings approved for construction in the last 12 months — continued demand and investment as the area fills in. → Investment
Suburb priced 25% below fundamentals Model fair value $900,000 vs actual $675,000 median — a confident gap (undervalued — quiet). Suburb-level, not this property. → Investment

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What to check before you buy

A due-diligence checklist tailored to what this report found — and, just as importantly, to what it could NOT check.

What this report is — and isn't. Every fact above is traced to a named, free, public Victorian Government or ABS dataset (see the footer). It is genuinely useful for understanding the land: its zoning, planning history, overlays, proximity to transport/schools/amenities, and the surrounding suburb's market and demographic trends.

Built entirely from free, public Victorian & Commonwealth datasets: Vicmap Planning (zones, overlays & gazetted history), ABS Census 2021, ABS building approvals, VGV property sales, DFFH Rental Report (bond lodgements), ATO taxation statistics, PTV/GTFS stops, Victorian school locations & zones, Crime Statistics Agency, Victoria in Future projections, and the Victorian Budget infrastructure pipeline. Stamp duty & grant figures use current State Revenue Office rules (indicative). Not a valuation, not legal or financial advice.